Ranking a player is different than projecting a player, which is why NFLDraftScout.com senior analyst Rob Rang has USC quarterback Sam Darnold atop his personal rankings but Wyoming quarterback Josh Allen going first overall to the Cleveland Browns.
Rang, in an interview Tuesday night on SiriusXM, cited his sources in Cleveland and personal instincts in holding firm in his belief that the Browns will take Allen at No. 1 in the NFL Draft. He is not, at least for now, changing the top of his mock draft at NFLDraftScout.com, last updated before Darnold and Allen each aced their Pro Day workouts.
“Frankly, I think that Josh Allen should be a question mark to be selected in the top 10, not necessarily No. 1 overall,” Rang said.
“But this is the Cleveland Browns and this is a team that believes in a quarterback that has great size. They feel that’s important in the AFC North Division to be successful, and Josh Allen has all those attributes — he has the size, has the arm strength, has had success in cold weather environments.”
None of the top quarterbacks in this draft, including Darnold, UCLA’s Josh Rosen, Oklahoma’s Baker Mayfield and Louisville’s Lamar Jackson, have Allen’s size or arm strength. Rosen comes closest.
“The big knock on Josh Allen is the level of competition and the completion percentage,” Rang said. “Everybody knocks the completion percentage.
“But when you’ve been doing this as long as I have, you have seen players like Matthew Stafford who completed about one percentage more than Josh Allen did at Wyoming, about 57 percent. You’ve seen Joe Flacco do the same things, Matt Ryan do the same things. Those three quarterbacks, obviously, wound up being selected in the first round and being very successful in the NFL.
“You do believe that Josh Allen, with more talent around him, could be successful.”