The Jets are on a three-game losing streak, and they've scored only 16 points the last two games combined.
Well, if you haven't been watching lately, Buffalo has been even more atrocious than the Jets, losing four straight by a combined margin of 90 points. They've scored 20 points total in their last three games and have turned the ball over 11 times during that stretch.
Veteran journeyman Derek Anderson started the Bills' 37-5 loss in Indianapolis with Buffalo a seven-point underdog and their 25-6 loss at home to the Patriots getting 14 points, but he suffered a concussion in the latter, forcing the Bills to go with Nathan Peterman in this past Sunday's 41-9 home loss to the Bears as 10-point dogs.
The 24-year-old Peterman threw 49 passes and yet they only gained 189 passing yards. He also three interceptions and now has one TD pass and seven picks this season.
Peterman will only start Sunday if Anderson remains in concussion protocol and rookie Josh Allen, who has missed the last three games with a shoulder injury, can't play, Bills coach Sean McDermott said Monday. Still, neither Anderson nor Allen is much of an upgrade, as Allen has two touchdown passes and five interceptions on the year, while Anderson has no TDs and four picks.
The Jets actually opened as high as 9.5-point favorites at some sports books, but the line has since come down to 7.5.
New York, which is 3-6 against the spread this season, hasn't been a favorite of more than seven points since 2015, when they beat the Jaguars (but didn't cover an eight-point spread), 28-23 in Week 9.
Since MetLife Stadium opened in 2010, Sunday will be only the seventh time (in 69 games there) the Jets will be favored by more than seven points. The other times were:
-Week 12 of the 2011 season when they beat the Bengals, 26-10, as a 9.5-point favorite.
-Week 2 of the 2012 season, a 32-3 when over the Jags laying nine points.
-Week 6 of 2012, a 24-6 win over the Dolphins laying 7.5 points.
-Week 12 of 2012 they were -9.5 over Buffalo but won the game 28-24.
-Week 14 of 2012, a 37-10 win over the Chiefs laying 10.5 points.
So they are 6-0 SU in those games, and 4-2 ATS.
Buffalo is also 3-6 ATS this season.
Said Jets head coach Todd Bowles about the game: "I think it's huge. It's our next game. It's a division rivalry. We let a couple of them go, especially the tough one we just lost (Sunday). We gave ourselves a chance to win at the end and we didn't pull it out. Winning takes care of a lot problems and a lot of issues. It's important for us to win the next ball game."
But can they cover the spread? Maybe, as all three of their wins this season have been by eight points or more.
Last season, three of their five wins were by seven points or more, and in 2016, four of their five were by at least six points.